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	<title>Sensei &#187; realism</title>
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		<title>Pessimism, Realism and the Recession</title>
		<link>http://www.sensei-winbeforehand.co.uk/2009/11/04/pessimism-realism-and-the-recession/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sensei-winbeforehand.co.uk/2009/11/04/pessimism-realism-and-the-recession/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Nov 2009 07:00:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Allen Baird, Partner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[positive psychology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joe Forgas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Martin Seligman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[negative moods]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[optimism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pessimism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[realism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sensei-winbeforehand.co.uk/?p=3570</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[An Australian psychologist has claimed that feeling grumpy &#8216;is good for you&#8217;.  At least that&#8217;s the spin the popular media put on the findings of Professor Joe Forgas of the University of South Wales.  What the guy actually says is a little more nuanced.  His claim is that there are some advantages to negative moods, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.sensei-winbeforehand.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/flower_on_leaves.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3587" title="flower_on_leaves" src="http://www.sensei-winbeforehand.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/flower_on_leaves.jpg" alt="flower_on_leaves" width="450" height="338" /></a></p>
<p>An Australian psychologist has claimed that <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/health/8339647.stm" target="_blank">feeling grumpy &#8216;is good for you&#8217;</a>.  At least that&#8217;s the spin the popular media put on the findings of Professor Joe Forgas of the University of South Wales.  What the guy actually says is a little more nuanced.  His claim is that there are <em>some advantages</em> to negative moods, just as there are to positive moods.<span id="more-3570"></span></p>
<p>For instance, negative moods foster these sort of effects:</p>
<ul>
<li>attentiveness</li>
<li>careful thinking</li>
<li>paying greater attention to the external world</li>
</ul>
<p>Positive moods are valuable to promote:</p>
<ul>
<li>creativity</li>
<li> flexibility</li>
<li>co-operation</li>
</ul>
<p>He actually claims that mildly negative mood may promote</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;&#8230;a more concrete, accommodative and ultimately more successful communication style&#8230; Positive mood is not universally desirable: people in negative mood are less prone to judgmental errors, are more resistant to eyewitness distortions and are better at producing high-quality, effective persuasive messages.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>This is interesting to me due to my recent rant on <a href="http://www.sensei-winbeforehand.co.uk/2009/10/28/did-positive-thinking-cause-the-recession/" target="_blank">one Americans journalist&#8217;s attempt to blame the recession on optimism</a>.  It seems she might at last have some scientific backing from this study.</p>
<p>My own viewpoint is to wonder whether there is a key distinction missing here between <em>optimism as an emotion</em> and <em>optimism as a thinking strategy</em>.  Forgas talks about <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mood_(psychology)" target="_blank">mood</a>, which is nothing other than a relatively long lasting emotional state.  Martin Seligman&#8217;s version of optimism is as <em>a habit of mind that is learnable</em> rather than an emotion.  In the jargon, optimism is an &#8216;<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Explanatory_style" target="_blank">explanatory style</a>&#8216; or a way of explaining your successes and failures to yourself.  The opposite of this learned optimism is <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Learned_helplessness" target="_blank">learned helplessness</a> rather than pessimistic feelings.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s worth noting that <a href="http://www.centreforconfidence.co.uk/pp/overview.php?p=c2lkPTQmdGlkPTAmaWQ9NjE=" target="_blank">Seligman recognises the limits of optimism by itself and prefers to advocate what he calls and<em> flexible optimism</em></a>.  John Braithwaite, an academic at the Australian National University, suggests that in modern society we undervalue <em>hope </em>because we wrongly think of it as a choice between hopefulness and naivete as opposed to <em>scepticism and realism</em>.  It depends how you define your terms.</p>
<p>So perhaps we can admit that a <em>naive optimism,</em> with its risk-taking abandon, unbalanced by realistic worst-case scenario planning and <a href="http://www.debonoonline.com/black-hat-thinking.asp" target="_blank">black-hat thinking</a>, might have been<em> a</em> factor in the recession.  (My money is still on a mixture of natural economic cycles and the emotion of greed as the prime causes.)</p>
<blockquote><p>It hardly follows from this at all optimism is bad, or that optimism has no part in getting ourselves out of recession!</p></blockquote>
<p>True, optimism doesn&#8217;t in itself change reality.  But it does help your<a href="http://www.lieslnet.com/blog/2006/09/26/optimism-resilience/" target="_blank"> resilience to reality</a>, and drive your motivation to go on and change it.  Pessimism asks &#8216;why?&#8217;  Optimism asks &#8216;how?&#8217;  There&#8217;s a worldview of difference between the two.</p>
<p>Image credit: <strong><a title="Link to dabert's photostream" rel="dc:creator cc:attributionURL" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabert/3018457563/" target="_blank"><strong>dabert</strong></a>.</strong></p>
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